Vequil

Vequil provides an autonomous trading platform that operates in binary‑outcome prediction markets by exploiting the latency of information propagation. The system ingests real‑time event feeds through a WebSocket price stream, maintains a live bid/ask cache, and converts raw signals into probability estimates using closed‑form mathematical mappings without any learned parameters. Each trade is sized according to the Kelly criterion, subject to hard position caps and daily loss circuit breakers, and execution is fully automated with cryptographic authentication.

The architecture is event‑driven and deterministic: every signal, evaluation, and execution step is logged to an immutable SQLite audit trail, enabling complete auditability and mathematical defensibility. If the pipeline cannot demonstrate a measurable edge, it does not trade, ensuring that positions are only taken when a structural advantage is identified.

The platform is aimed at developers and researchers who build real‑time event pipelines and deterministic trading agents for prediction markets, offering a glass‑box alternative to black‑box models with a focus on microstructure analysis, latency measurement, and risk‑controlled execution.